Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

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Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

2%

25 bps decrease

21%

No change

78%

25+ bps increase

1%

$23m Vol.

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Super Bowl Champion 2026 card icon

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Los Angeles R

20%

Buffalo

12%

Denver

10%

Seattle

10%

Philadelphia

9%

$623m Vol.

Maduro out by...? card icon

Maduro out by...?

December 31, 2025

6%

January 31, 2026

19%

March 31, 2026

37%

December 31, 2026

54%

$25m Vol.

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch? card icon

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

>$1B

83%

>$2B

77%

>$3B

57%

>$4B

38%

>$6B

15%

$24m Vol.

Survivor 49 Winner card icon

Survivor 49 Winner

Savannah Louie

87%

Rizo Velovic

9%

Sophi Balerdi

2%

Kristina Mills

<1%

$448k Vol.

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025? card icon

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025?

0

89%

1-100

10%

101-1k

1%

1k-2.5k

1%

2.5k-5k

<1%

$7m Vol.

David Friedberg image

David Friedberg
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NFL MVP card icon

NFL MVP

Matthew Stafford

71%

Josh Allen

13%

Drake Maye

13%

Bo Nix

1%

Jordan Love

1%

$1m Vol.

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet? card icon

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Kristi Noem

24%

Pete Hegseth

18%

None before 2027

15%

Kelly Loeffler

9%

Chris Wright

6%

$149k Vol.

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US x Venezuela military engagement by...? card icon

US x Venezuela military engagement by...?

December 15

<1%

December 31

18%

January 15, 2026

27%

January 31, 2026

34%

March 31, 2026

51%

$38m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

4%

chance

$57m Vol.

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How many gifts will Santa deliver in 2025? card icon

How many gifts will Santa deliver in 2025?

<7.9B

1%

8.1 - 8.2B

5%

8.2 - 8.3B

69%

8.3 - 8.4B

9%

>8.4B

19%

$120k Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets December 9 - December 16, 2025? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets December 9 - December 16, 2025?

240-259

5%

260-279

58%

280-299

30%

300-319

4%

320-339

1%

$14m Vol.

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